小麦条锈病发生规律预测模型
（1）模糊综合决策预测模型：
评判模型：
模型1：主要因素肯定型：
模型2：主要因素决定型：
模型3：主要因素突出型：
模型4：因素求和型：
模型5：加权平均型：
模型6：综合决策型：
式中，x1为平凉地区条锈病流行程度级别；x2为当地4月份平均气温；x3为4~5月降水量；x4为感染品种种植面积；x1，…，x4为预报因子。
（2）柯布-道格拉斯预测模型：
式中，Y为流行程度预测值。
参考文献
谢成君：宁南山区小麦条锈病发生规律预测预报研究。生态学杂志，1998,17（1）
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